Last week I used FIFA 15 on PlayStation 3 to simulate the 46 games in the top English leagues (Premier, Championship, League One and League Two). I then posted the predictions for goal scorers, final scores and in some cases how a goal would come about for a certain team. After Friday it looked like FIFA would do quite well in this challenge but Saturdays results saw reality pull away with a decisive lead being over 120 points ahead.
The rules are simple, FIFA gains a point for every correct final score and every named goal scorer or method of scoring (e.g. penalty shot). Reality gains a point for an incorrect FIFA score prediction and for every unnamed goal scorer. So lets crack on with Sundays results.
Chelsea 2 – 2 Arsenal
Chelsea: 32′ Hazard/90′ Oscar
Arsenal: 43′ 90′ Sanchez
Chelsea 2 – 0 Arsenal
Chelsea: 27′ Hazard (Pen)/78′ Diego Costa
Sunday brought only 3 games in which FIFA scored points, in this game FIFA earned 1 point for correctly identifying Hazard as a goal scorer, unfortunately reality takes the score line and extra goal scorer points meaning it leaves with an extra 2.
Nottingham Forest 1- 2 Ipswich
Forest: 09′ Assombalonga
Ipswich: 11′ McGoldrick/44′ Murphy
Nottingham Forest 2- 2 Ipswich
Forest: 63′ Tesche/90′ Antonio
Ipswich: 19′ 71′ Murphy
This, the only game in the Championship on Sunday, brought FIFA another much-needed point again for correctly predicting a goal scorer. Reality took 3 thanks to the score and 2 goal scorers. FIFAs final point from Sunday came from guessing the correct score in the Tottenham game.
I used the method above on all 5 games played on Sunday, below are the scores for FIFA 15 and Reality.
Sunday October 5th
Games Played: 4
Games Played: 1
Games Played: 5
FIFA 15: 12 – 142 Reality
So over the course of the weekend FIFA made a few good calls but if you’re looking to place precise bets then maybe try flipping a coin or rolling a dice. Not all is lost for FIFA though because if we look at the time goals came it almost gets 6 marks, although only 1 was spot on the other 5 were around a minute either side of FIFAs prediction.
There is a positive for FIFA 15 though when looking at if it can predict a winning team or a draw. FIFA correctly predicted around 30% correctly. Is it enough to walk into a bookies and put real world money down, probably not but guessing 15 results correctly does earn back FIFA some of its credit.
On a personal note, after spending over 10 hours watching a game play football and then getting to spend a few hours playing it myself I still don’t understand the appeal of games like FIFA or PES, there are too many elements to accurately map it to a controller or keyboard. Yes if you play with friends I imagine they could make good party games but I don’t get why you would spend £50 on a game instead of £2 on a ball, go to a park and do it yourself. I’m here to be proved wrong but it will take a really special football game to change my mind on this.
If you want to join in the discussion feel free to use the comment section below or you can find me on Twitter where I’m @PaulMurday.
All results from the BBC Sports website.